Huatai Securities: It is expected that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25bp in December, but the path of interest rate cut in 2025 is highly uncertain. Huatai Securities said that the overall inflation in November in the United States was in line with expectations, and the slight cooling of service inflation partially eased the market's concerns about inflation rebound. It is expected that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25bp in December, but the path of interest rate cut in 2025 is highly uncertain. Recently, the overall economic momentum of the United States has rebounded: from September to November, the PMI of Markit manufacturing in the United States has rebounded for three consecutive months; After the election, enterprises, especially small enterprises, are expected to improve, and the recent NFIB SME confidence index has rebounded significantly; The latest Atlanta GDP Now shows that the fourth quarter GDP growth rate of the United States is 3.3% year-on-year. However, considering that the unemployment rate data rebounded in November, and the recent inflation is still relatively moderate, we expect that the recent data may not prevent the Fed from cutting interest rates at its December meeting next week. However, in 2025, the growth and inflation path of the United States was disturbed by the Trump policy, and the Federal Reserve may "make a camera choice" on the basis of watching the overall economic trend. There is uncertainty in the path of interest rate cut in 2025.The Economic Committee of the Colombian Congress rejected the tax reform proposed by the government to fund the 2025 budget.Japanese and Korean stock markets opened higher, with the Nikkei 225 index rising 1.21% to 39,849.97. South Korea's KOSPI index rose 0.6% to 2,456.63.
On the morning of December 12, 2024, the People's Court of Tongcheng County, Hubei Province publicly pronounced the case of Liu Gang, the former full-time vice chairman of Chengdu Football Association, for corruption, bribery and unit bribery, and sentenced the defendant Liu Gang to seven years in prison for corruption and fined 400,000 yuan. Sentenced to two years in prison for accepting bribes and fined 200,000 yuan; He was sentenced to one year's imprisonment and fined RMB 100,000 for bribery by a company, and decided to execute eight years' imprisonment and fined RMB 700,000. The property obtained from corruption shall be recovered according to law and returned to the injured unit respectively; The property obtained by taking bribes shall be recovered according to law and turned over to the state treasury.South Korean President Yin Xiyue: The opposition party does not recognize the president.Russia says it controls two settlements in Kursk, and the Ukrainian army says it will continue to hold its ground. On the 11th, local time, the Russian Defense Ministry reported that in the past day, Russian troops had taken control of Darinot and Plekhovo settlements in Kursk region. The circular also stated that the Ukrainian armed forces used six US-made Army tactical missiles on the same day to launch an attack on a military airport in Rostov, southern Russia. The falling of missile fragments caused personal injury, but no other serious losses were caused. Russia will respond to this attack. On the same day, the General Staff of the Ukrainian Armed Forces issued a battle report, saying that there were 140 battles in the frontline area that day, and the Ukrainian army continued to hold its ground and fully blocked the Russian army. Among them, the fighting in Pokrovsk and Kulahovo is the fiercest, and fighting continues in some areas. In addition, Sumeizhou and Chernigov continue to be attacked by Russian air. In the Kursk region, the Ukrainian army repelled 15 Russian attacks.
Summary of Hong Kong stock announcements, Small Vegetable Garden: It is planned to sell about 101 million shares worldwide, and it is expected to be listed on December 20. BOSS direct employment -W: The operating profit in the third quarter increased by 26.5%, and the monthly active users increased by 30%. BAIC Investment and Hyundai Motor injected US$ 1.095 billion into Beijing Hyundai in proportion. China Pacific Insurance: Pacific Life Insurance's premium income from January to November was 228.842 billion yuan. Year-on-year growth of 2.2% Hong Kong Science and Technology Exploration: In November, the total merchandise transaction volume of orders reached HK$ 687 million. SJM Holdings: It plans to acquire new quality digital technology in Hengqin New District, Zhuhai City for 546 million yuan. It plans to discount about 7.89% and place up to 800 million shares. Net raised HK$ 530 million. Kyle Digital Technology: It is planned to allocate a total of 212 million shares at a discount of about 15.38% to raise HK$ 210 million. Mongolian Mining: It is planned to spend US$ 20.5 million to acquire Mongolian copper exploration company and expand diversified mineral business. CGNPC New Energy: In November, the power generation was 1,360.8 GW, a year-on-year decrease of 18%.The two-wheel drive robot industry in the policy market is welcoming the expansion period. The reporter was informed that many places have successively issued relevant policies for the development of the robot industry, planned development goals, and refined measures around improving basic innovation capabilities, accelerating the demonstration application of "robot+"innovation, and promoting the accelerated agglomeration of business entities to accelerate the innovation and development of the robot industry. Recently, Hangzhou released the Development Plan of Humanoid Robot Industry in Hangzhou (2024-2029). Chongqing, Nanjing, Sichuan Tianfu New District and other places have also issued relevant policies to promote the development of the robot industry, and based on the current situation and advantages of industrial development in various regions, promote the further development of the robot industry. Gao Chao, deputy general manager of CCID Consulting Advanced Manufacturing Research Center, said that the scale of China's robot industry is expected to grow to about 400 billion yuan during the Tenth Five-Year Plan period. While accelerating the overall development level of the robot industry, building an industrial innovation system and strengthening product application and promotion have also become the focus of multi-party efforts. Policy and market two-wheel drive have further opened up the development space for robot-related enterprises. (Economic Information Daily)China Bank's RMB clearing volume in Australia exceeded 100 trillion yuan. According to Bank of China, recently, Bank of China Sydney Branch and Bank of China Hong Kong jointly held a RMB forum in Sydney to celebrate the 10th anniversary of being an Australian RMB clearing bank. As the only RMB clearing bank in the South Pacific at present, in the past ten years, China Bank has taken root in Australia and South Pacific, continuously expanded its clearing network, cooperated with four local banks and other financial institutions in Australia, and became the main channel for RMB clearing of local important banks, providing RMB clearing volume of more than 100 trillion yuan.